上海
編者按：在過(guò)去的一個(gè)世紀(jì)里，人類平均壽命實(shí)現(xiàn)了顯著提升，整體延長(zhǎng)了整整四十年。然而這一成就也帶來(lái)了前所未有的嚴(yán)峻挑戰(zhàn)：我們的“健康壽命”（healthspan）未能實(shí)現(xiàn)同步增長(zhǎng)。近期的一份報(bào)告揭示了一個(gè)嚴(yán)峻的現(xiàn)實(shí)，僅以美國(guó)為例，其人口的一生中平均12.4年處于健康不良狀態(tài)。壽命長(zhǎng)度與生命質(zhì)量之間的鴻溝，正向我們的醫(yī)療體系、經(jīng)濟(jì)結(jié)構(gòu)乃至整體社會(huì)提出了亟待解決的問(wèn)題。為深入理解這些挑戰(zhàn)，并探尋構(gòu)建更美好老年生活所需的創(chuàng)新，我們與米爾肯研究所（Milken Institute）老齡化未來(lái)中心的執(zhí)行董事Diane Ty女士進(jìn)行了一次對(duì)話。
Diane Ty女士一直活躍在老齡化領(lǐng)域的前沿，正積極推動(dòng)長(zhǎng)壽議題討論焦點(diǎn)的轉(zhuǎn)變：從單純追求延長(zhǎng)壽命，轉(zhuǎn)向全面提升健康壽命期的生活質(zhì)量。她圍繞健康、財(cái)務(wù)穩(wěn)定與人生目標(biāo)三大支柱，系統(tǒng)性開(kāi)展工作。在米爾肯研究所，她主導(dǎo)致力于改善癡呆癥護(hù)理的聯(lián)盟及多個(gè)跨領(lǐng)域項(xiàng)目，推動(dòng)政策、實(shí)踐與體系的變革。此外，作為喬治城大學(xué)Business for Impact中心的高級(jí)顧問(wèn)，她在健康與財(cái)務(wù)安全領(lǐng)域亦擁有深厚的咨詢經(jīng)驗(yàn)。
感謝您接受我們的訪談。您的工作聚焦于“老齡化的未來(lái)”，這一概念涵蓋了廣泛的社會(huì)變遷。能否請(qǐng)您詳細(xì)闡釋這個(gè)概念的具體內(nèi)涵及其重要性？
Diane Ty：如今更準(zhǔn)確的表述應(yīng)該是“老齡化與長(zhǎng)壽的未來(lái)”，因?yàn)槲覀冋媾R人口老齡化問(wèn)題，這是影響社會(huì)各個(gè)層面的全球性大趨勢(shì)。過(guò)去百年間人類壽命延長(zhǎng)了四十年，這一成就或許堪稱人類歷史上最偉大的進(jìn)步。然而我們的現(xiàn)有體系，尤其是醫(yī)療保健與養(yǎng)老保障系統(tǒng)，尚未為這些新增的壽命年限做好充分準(zhǔn)備。
對(duì)我而言，"老齡化與長(zhǎng)壽的未來(lái)"是一個(gè)多維度的概念。首先，我們需要思考如何確保人們?cè)谘娱L(zhǎng)的生命歲月中能夠保持健康體魄與經(jīng)濟(jì)穩(wěn)定，同時(shí)構(gòu)建重視人生各階段價(jià)值的社會(huì)機(jī)制，使年長(zhǎng)者能持續(xù)創(chuàng)造價(jià)值、維系社會(huì)聯(lián)結(jié)。這首先關(guān)乎身體健康。衰老是慢性病的主要風(fēng)險(xiǎn)因素，因此老齡化未來(lái)的核心在于發(fā)展預(yù)防性醫(yī)療與精準(zhǔn)醫(yī)療。其關(guān)鍵目標(biāo)是延長(zhǎng)“健康壽命”（即健康生活的年限），而不僅僅是延長(zhǎng)“生存年限”。同時(shí)，這也關(guān)乎“財(cái)務(wù)長(zhǎng)壽”，確保個(gè)人擁有足以支撐漫長(zhǎng)人生的儲(chǔ)蓄與福利保障。更重要的是，它還關(guān)乎我們?cè)谀昀蠒r(shí)的生活目標(biāo)和社會(huì)聯(lián)結(jié)。所有這些維度，共同構(gòu)成了“老齡化未來(lái)”的完整圖景。
圖片來(lái)源：123RF
您在近期指出，數(shù)據(jù)顯示美國(guó)人的平均壽命超出健康壽命十年以上。為縮小這一差距，個(gè)人可以采取哪些切實(shí)可行的措施？醫(yī)療體系又需要提供怎樣的政策支持？
Diane Ty：在美國(guó)，人們平均有12.4年的時(shí)間處于健康不佳的狀態(tài)，相比之下全球平均值僅為9.4年，兩者存在明顯差距。盡管這一問(wèn)題沒(méi)有簡(jiǎn)單的解決方案，但科學(xué)證據(jù)已表明，通過(guò)調(diào)整生活方式可有效預(yù)防和延緩慢性疾病的發(fā)生與進(jìn)展。其中，首要因素是堅(jiān)持鍛煉，人類自30歲后每十年會(huì)流失3%至8%的肌肉量，因此堅(jiān)持抗阻訓(xùn)練、平衡訓(xùn)練與柔韌性鍛煉對(duì)預(yù)防跌倒尤為重要。美國(guó)健康指南建議人們每周進(jìn)行150至300分鐘中高強(qiáng)度鍛煉，但目前僅有30%的成年人能達(dá)到這一標(biāo)準(zhǔn)。此外，遵循以植物為主、營(yíng)養(yǎng)豐富的膳食模式（如地中海飲食）同樣是延長(zhǎng)健康壽命的關(guān)鍵要素。
社會(huì)聯(lián)結(jié)同樣至關(guān)重要。研究顯示，社交隔離與孤獨(dú)感帶來(lái)的健康風(fēng)險(xiǎn)，相當(dāng)于每日吸十五支香煙。而擁有明確的生活目標(biāo)則能產(chǎn)生積極影響，有助于降低認(rèn)知衰退與血管疾病的風(fēng)險(xiǎn)。此外，優(yōu)質(zhì)睡眠同樣不可或缺，大量研究證實(shí)它能顯著改善我們的健康狀況。
圖片來(lái)源：123RF
在政策層面，現(xiàn)有醫(yī)療體系的設(shè)計(jì)初衷并非用于投入預(yù)防性護(hù)理。有人如此評(píng)價(jià)，我們?nèi)蕴幱谝粋€(gè)“治療疾病”的體系，而不是“管理健康”的體系。我認(rèn)為這種狀況正在轉(zhuǎn)變。越來(lái)越多的人認(rèn)識(shí)到，我們必須加大對(duì)早期篩查、疾病預(yù)防的投入，并建立與之匹配的價(jià)值導(dǎo)向型付費(fèi)模式。同時(shí)，我們深知家庭照護(hù)者的重要性，特別是在照護(hù)神經(jīng)退行性疾病患者時(shí)。我們需要通過(guò)提供讓照護(hù)者得到適當(dāng)休息的服務(wù)、專業(yè)培訓(xùn)和稅收優(yōu)惠等措施，支持這些承受著身心雙重壓力的照護(hù)者。從國(guó)家層面、聯(lián)邦政府層面到醫(yī)療體系內(nèi)部，都存在諸多政策創(chuàng)新的機(jī)遇。
大多數(shù)老年人都希望在家中安度晚年。您認(rèn)為科技能為年長(zhǎng)者及其照護(hù)者提供哪些支持？這些技術(shù)的應(yīng)用過(guò)程又主要面臨著哪些障礙？
Diane Ty：我們正目睹科技領(lǐng)域涌現(xiàn)諸多令人振奮的進(jìn)展。互聯(lián)照護(hù)技術(shù)及其配套設(shè)備服務(wù)生態(tài)系統(tǒng)的成熟，正在為選擇居家養(yǎng)老的老年人重塑生活體驗(yàn)。例如，我們可以借助技術(shù)和人工智能來(lái)預(yù)防跌倒。我們可以監(jiān)測(cè)步態(tài)與活動(dòng)模式的細(xì)微變化，及時(shí)識(shí)別功能衰退征兆，從而在源頭上防范跌倒風(fēng)險(xiǎn)。對(duì)照護(hù)者而言，數(shù)字化護(hù)理協(xié)調(diào)系統(tǒng)、共享應(yīng)用程序與門戶平臺(tái)，以及搭載可穿戴設(shè)備的遠(yuǎn)程監(jiān)測(cè)系統(tǒng)，都能實(shí)現(xiàn)生命體征的持續(xù)追蹤。
圖片來(lái)源：123RF
然而令人困惑的是，現(xiàn)有技術(shù)多為孤立解決方案，尚未形成統(tǒng)籌全局的生態(tài)系統(tǒng)，各類設(shè)備間缺乏協(xié)同運(yùn)作。實(shí)現(xiàn)各設(shè)備間的互聯(lián)互通已成為剛性需求，而隱私保護(hù)問(wèn)題同樣不容忽視。我們?cè)槍?duì)照護(hù)雙方（如成年子女與老人）開(kāi)展研究，發(fā)現(xiàn)雙方需求存在顯著沖突：家庭照護(hù)者往往聚焦安全與保障，而老人則更關(guān)注馬斯洛需求理論（Maslow’s hierarchy）中更高層次的自我實(shí)現(xiàn)與獨(dú)立人格需求。常見(jiàn)的情形是，成年子女購(gòu)置的科技設(shè)備最終被束之高閣，因?yàn)樵谀觊L(zhǎng)者眼中，這些設(shè)備無(wú)異于對(duì)其隱私的侵犯。因此，深刻理解這種復(fù)雜的需求差異至關(guān)重要。
您剛才提到家庭照護(hù)者承受著巨大壓力。能否請(qǐng)您詳細(xì)說(shuō)明這一危機(jī)的嚴(yán)重程度，以及它需要哪些政策支持？
Diane Ty：照護(hù)者群體往往處于被忽視的狀態(tài)，許多人甚至不自視為照護(hù)者，認(rèn)為這只是為人子女或配偶的本分。但如今這種情況正在改變。美國(guó)退休人員協(xié)會(huì)（AARP）的最新數(shù)據(jù)顯示：全美現(xiàn)有6300萬(wàn)家庭照護(hù)者，其中70%同時(shí)從事著有償工作。當(dāng)前美國(guó)職場(chǎng)中，照料老年人的勞動(dòng)者數(shù)量已然超過(guò)照顧學(xué)齡前兒童的勞動(dòng)者。
我們正面臨嚴(yán)峻的照護(hù)危機(jī)：專業(yè)照護(hù)人員嚴(yán)重短缺，等候照護(hù)服務(wù)的人數(shù)卻居高不下。在我們的調(diào)研中，照護(hù)者持續(xù)向我們傳達(dá)兩大核心訴求：職業(yè)保障與帶薪家庭照護(hù)假。我們需要政策支持，職場(chǎng)層面也需要積極行動(dòng)，如營(yíng)造“照護(hù)包容文化”。
圖片來(lái)源：123RF
在您看來(lái)，在癡呆癥的早期診斷方面，我們目前面臨的主要障礙有哪些？又應(yīng)采取哪些應(yīng)對(duì)策略來(lái)克服這些障礙？
Diane Ty：首先我想糾正衰老必然導(dǎo)致認(rèn)知衰退這一常見(jiàn)誤區(qū)，事實(shí)并非如此。我希望認(rèn)知評(píng)估能像血壓檢測(cè)一樣成為常規(guī)體檢項(xiàng)目。我們應(yīng)當(dāng)從中年就開(kāi)始建立認(rèn)知基線，以便追蹤隨時(shí)間推移的認(rèn)知變化。科學(xué)研究表明，大腦的病理改變?cè)诎Y狀出現(xiàn)前二十年就已悄然發(fā)生。早期診斷能夠識(shí)別出可干預(yù)或可逆的致病因素，例如睡眠呼吸暫停、聽(tīng)力受損或維生素缺乏。若人們能理解這一點(diǎn)，他們對(duì)大腦健康檢查的抗拒或許就會(huì)減少。
感謝您的深刻見(jiàn)解！面對(duì)我們所討論的諸多挑戰(zhàn)與機(jī)遇，您認(rèn)為現(xiàn)行退休體系應(yīng)如何適應(yīng)這些額外延長(zhǎng)的生命年限？
Diane Ty：值得欣慰的是，退休計(jì)劃提供的解決方案與相關(guān)產(chǎn)品正在發(fā)展，這些創(chuàng)新方案能提供穩(wěn)定的現(xiàn)金流。另一方面，個(gè)人需要提升自己的“長(zhǎng)壽認(rèn)知素養(yǎng)”。研究表明，當(dāng)人們對(duì)自身預(yù)期壽命形成準(zhǔn)確認(rèn)知時(shí)，其財(cái)務(wù)規(guī)劃與儲(chǔ)蓄行為往往更為合理。
我期待構(gòu)建一個(gè)以預(yù)防為先，更加整合的醫(yī)療體系。這個(gè)體系將重點(diǎn)開(kāi)展對(duì)心血管、代謝及認(rèn)知健康的風(fēng)險(xiǎn)篩查和預(yù)防性干預(yù)，并從個(gè)體中年期起就將這些服務(wù)納入常規(guī)檢查項(xiàng)目。在此體系中，居家照護(hù)將成為主流模式，依托遠(yuǎn)程監(jiān)測(cè)與人工智能驅(qū)動(dòng)的臨床支持系統(tǒng)；同時(shí)，家庭照護(hù)者也將被正式認(rèn)定為醫(yī)療團(tuán)隊(duì)的重要組成部分，并獲得培訓(xùn)支持、休息服務(wù)及稅收優(yōu)惠等多方面保障。
Closing the Gap: A Conversation with Diane Ty, Managing Director, Future of Aging, Milken Institute
Editor’s Note:One of the greatest triumphs of the last century is the dramatic increase in human lifespan, with humanity gaining an extra 40 years of life in the past 100 years. However, this success has revealed a profound new challenge: our "healthspan" has not kept pace. A recent report highlighted a stark reality: in the U.S., people are living an average of 12.4 years in poor health, the largest such gap in the world. This disparity between how long we live and how long we live well presents urgent questions for our healthcare systems, economies, and societies. To understand these challenges and explore the innovations needed to create a better future of aging, we spoke with Diane Ty. As the Managing Director of the Milken Institute Future of Aging, Diane is at the forefront of shaping a new narrative around longevity. Her work focuses on reframing the conversation from simply extending life to enhancing the quality of those extra years through a focus on health, financial stability, and purpose.
Diane, thank you for joining us today. Your work focuses on the "future of aging," a term that encompasses massive societal shifts. Can you break down what this concept means and why it's such a critical issue?
Diane Ty:It's more the future of aging and longevity now, because we're looking at population aging. It's a global megatrend in terms of impacting every aspect of society.We've gained an extra 40 years of life in the past 100 years,and this increase in life expectancy is perhaps the greatest achievement in human history. However,our systems, especially our healthcare and retirement security systems, are not well prepared for these added years of longevity.
To me, “future of aging” means a few things. First, how can we ensure that our longer lives are lived in good health, with economic stability, and with institutions and communities that value every stage of life so older adults can continue to contribute and connect?It's about health. Aging is the predominant risk factor for chronic disease, so the future of aging is about preemptive care, preventive care, and precision medicine. The focus is on healthspan, the years lived in good health, as opposed to just lifespan.It's also about financial longevity and ensuring we have the savings and benefits to sustain us.And importantly,it's about purpose and social connection as we age.All of these domains make up the future of aging.
Source：123RF
You've noted in a recent report that Americans live over a decade longer than they remain healthy. What actionable steps can individuals take to close this gap, and what policies are needed from the healthcare system to support them?
Diane Ty:In the U.S., people are on average living 12.4 years in poorer health. This gap between healthspan and lifespan is the largest in the world; the global average is 9.4 years.While there's no easy answer, we have abundant scientific evidence for how we can prevent and delaychronic diseases through lifestyle behaviors.First,exercise is critical;we lose about three to eight percent of our muscle mass every decade after age 30, so resistance training, balance, and flexibility are very important to prevent falls. U.S. health guidelines recommend 150 to 300 minutes per week of moderate to vigorous exercise, yet only 30 percent of adults are meeting that guideline. Additionally,a nutrient-dense, more plant-focused diet, like the Mediterranean diet, is key.
Social connection is also crucial, as social isolation and loneliness increase health risk to an equivalent of smoking 15 cigarettes a day. Living with purpose has a positive impact and is linked to lowering the risk of cognitive decline and vascular disease. Finally,high-quality sleep is essential;there is so much research showing how it can improve our health.
Source：123RF
On the policy side, our healthcare system isn't designed to invest in preventive care; you hear the saying that we're a "sick care" system versus a "well care" system. I think that is changing. There's a growing recognition thatwe need to invest in earlier detection, prevention, and in the value-based payment models that can support that. We also know how important the family caregiver is, particularly when someone has a neurodegenerative disease.We need to support that family caregiver who is undergoing their own mental and physical stress with caregiver respite, training, and tax incentives. There are many policy opportunities at the national and federal level, as well as within the healthcare system.
Most older adults want to age at home. What role can technology play in supporting them and their caregivers, and what are the primary barriers to adoption?
Diane Ty:We're seeing very exciting developments in technology enabling connected care and a whole ecosystem of devices and services that can shape a new experience for older adults who want to age at home. For example, you can use technology and AI to focus on fall prevention. We can monitor changes in movement or gait to look for signs of deterioration, which can help prevent a fall from happening in the first place. For caregivers, digital care coordination, shared apps and portals, and remote monitoring with wearables can track vital signs.
Source：123RF
However, the confusing part is that a lot of these are single-point solutions;we are not yet looking holistically at the ecosystem and how these devices work together. Interoperability is a definite need. There's also a definite concern for privacy. I did some research where we looked at care dyads, such as an adult child and the older adult. They have colliding needs. The family caregiver is often focused on safety and security. But the older adult may be higher up on Maslow's hierarchy, focused on self-actualization and independence. We hear stories of tech devices that the adult child purchases ending up in a drawer because the older adult sees it as invading their privacy. Understanding that complex set of needs is critical.
You've spoken about the immense burden on family caregivers. Can you elaborate on the scale of this crisis and what policies are needed to address it?
Diane Ty:Caregivers have often been invisible, not even self-identifying because they are just being a son, a daughter, or a spouse. But it's becoming more visible now. AARP (American Association of Retired Persons) recently came out with new statistics: there are now 63 million family caregivers, with 70% also working in a paid role. There are more U.S. workers caring for an older adult today than for a preschool-aged child.
We have a real crisis on our hands, with a shortage of direct care workers and too many people on waiting lists for care.In our research,caregivers consistently tell us they want job protection and paid family leave.We need policy change. The workplace also needs to come forward, such as creating a care-aware culture.
Source：123RF
Regarding dementia, what are the barriers to early detection and how can we overcome them?
Diane Ty:First, I want to address the misperception that cognitive decline is an inevitable part of aging; it is not. I would like to see cognitive assessment become part of routine care, like checking your blood pressure.We should start in midlife to have a baseline so you can track change over time. We know that changes to the brain are happening up to 20 years before any symptoms manifest.Early detection can identify addressable or reversible causes, such as sleep apnea, hearing loss, or a vitamin deficiency.If people understood that, they might be less fearful about getting their brain health checked.
Thank you for the insights! With all the challenges and opportunities discussed, how should our retirement system adapt to these extra years of life?
Diane Ty:One of the bright spots is the development of in-plan solutions and products offered within retirement plans that provide a steady income stream. Another thing individuals can do is improve their "longevity literacy". Studies show that when you have a realistic sense of your lifespan, you do a much better job of planning and saving.
My wish is for a more integrated, prevention-first healthcare system.This system would focus on risk detection and preemptive care for cardiovascular, metabolic, and cognitive health, making it standard and routine beginning in midlife. In this system, home-based care would be mainstream, supported by remote monitoring and AI-driven clinical support systems, and family caregivers would be recognized as an essential part of the care team, supported with training, respite care, and tax benefits.
參考資料：
[1] Diane Ty. Retrieved October 30, 2025, from https://milkeninstitute.org/experts/diane-ty
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